Announcing the date of dissolution of provincial assemblies: What are the consequences of Imran Khan's political move?

 

Former Prime Minister of Pakistan and Chairman of Tehreek-e-Insaf Imran Khan has announced the dissolution of the Provincial Assemblies of Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa five days later, on December 23, 2022.

It should be noted that Imran Khan, in a video address from his residence in Zaman Park in Lahore on Saturday, said that his aim with Azadi March and other rallies was to force the rulers to hold elections.

Imran Khan also said that today 70 percent of people in Pakistan want elections and by breaking the two assemblies, 66 percent of Pakistan will go to elections.

He said that it is the constitutional responsibility of the Election Commission to hold elections within 90 days in case of dissolution of the Assembly.

 

Important federal interior minister and PML-N leader Rana Sanaullah thinks that Imran Khan may take a U-turn on this announcement.

Rana Sanaullah also said that he is convinced to hold elections immediately after the dissolution of the assemblies, but there is another stand in the party.

It should be noted that Punjab Chief Minister and Q-League leader Chaudhry Parvez Elahi while talking to journalists after Imran Khan's announcement said that he is satisfied with this decision.

 

 

Meanwhile, former federal minister and Awami Muslim League leader Sheikh Rasheed Ahmed explained that the date of dissolution of the assembly was given by Imran Khan so that 'elections could be held before the month of Ramadan'.

Talking to Geo News, he said that during the consultation, the dates of December 17, December 24 and December 25 were under consideration and Imran Khan wanted to dissolve the assembly on the 17th, but it was decided by consensus on December 23 so that Ramadan would begin. The elections should be held a day or two before the election.

"The matter seems to be going to court"

He said that earlier Tehreek-e-Insaaf also resigned from the National Assembly and gave an open field to the government to enact its own legislation.

Salman Ghani said that he sees this matter going to the court because the constitution gives the power to dissolve the assembly to the chief minister, but the reason has to be given.

He cited the example of Manzoor Vito in Punjab and Mir Zafarullah Jamali in Balochistan and Qasim Suri himself as Speaker in the Federation and the courts gave judgments and restored the assemblies.

 

 

Salman Ghani said that 'probably work is going on in Islamabad and Rawalpindi on a reconciliation formula under which both the government and the opposition can be brought to an intermediate time for the election, that's why they have given a week's time.'

However, he said that the democratic process in Pakistan has been deadlocked for a decade and a certain mentality does not allow dialogue.

Salman Ghani said that "Our political misfortune is that the ruling parties are afraid to approach the people."

He said that before the no-confidence vote in April, Imran Khan also had this option and now the present government also has this option.

When asked if the opposition parties in Punjab can try any postponement strategy, Salman Ghani said that if the chief ministers have the power to dissolve the assembly, then the opposition also has the option of bringing a no-confidence motion against the chief minister. Is.

However, he said that according to him, this assembly is being asked to be dissolved for political reasons, so this matter can go to court.

It is difficult for Imran Khan to take a U-turn.

Journalist Arifa Noor said while talking to the BBC, "It is not easy to take such a step, but Imran Khan had increased the pressure on himself so much that he had to make an announcement."

In his opinion, Imran Khan's relations with the establishment do not seem to be improving, however, 'somewhere there may be talks with his backdoor government and the establishment as well.'

But she says that 'where Imran Khan is dominant in his party and (Q) League, because (Q) League knows that she will stay with Imran Khan then her position will be strengthened in the elections, all other than that. The factors are against Imran Khan.

According to Arifa Noor, Imran Khan's announcement may have unexpected consequences.

 

 

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"If the caretaker government is formed against their will, the Election Commission does not conduct elections and the federal government in the absence of the Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa governments accelerates efforts to arrest them, then all these concerns exist and many more problems. Can be.'

He said that it will not be easy for Imran Khan to dissolve the assembly, but it will be even more difficult for him to take a U-turn on this matter.

Can PDM create obstacles in this regard? On this question, Arifa Noor said that there was a lot of agitation in the PDM in the beginning that if Imran Khan decides, then governor rule will be imposed or a vote of confidence will be asked, or no confidence will be brought. So were they waiting for Imran Khan to decide?'

He said that after the 18th Amendment, it has not been so easy to ask for a vote of confidence or to impose a governor's rule, and if a no-confidence motion is brought, after the decision of the Supreme Court, there is no room for PTI to do anything. People should break up and come to PDM and they will win this vote.'

 

 

'Imran Khan is in danger of disqualification'

On Imran Khan's announcement to dissolve the provincial assemblies, journalist and analyst Sohail Waraich said that the government will try to have by-elections or only elections for these two assemblies, but I think it will not be possible now. '

He said that now we should move towards general elections because if KP and Punjab assembly elections are held, then at the time of general elections there will be caretaker government at the center while these two provinces will have elected governments, then at that time the constitution and What will happen to the political situation?'

He says that this situation will be very strange for the first time after the 1973 constitution.

He said that the chief minister of any province has the power to announce an election whenever he wants, but it is for a different reason that the country's current economic situation is not favorable for him.

Talking about this aggressive move on behalf of Imran Khan, he said that "Imran Khan is in danger that if he does not take aggressive steps, the government will disqualify him. Sohail Waraich said that 'Imran Khan has taken this action before the government so that the government was forced to go to the election.'

Analyzing Imran Khan for giving a week's time to dissolve the assemblies, he said that his allies and colleagues are advising him not to hurry and there is some resistance. Talking about the government's response, he said that the government will definitely try to stop them from dissolving the assemblies by bringing a no-confidence motion in Punjab.